Traffic Bottlenecks: Predicting Atmospheric Blocking with a Diminishing Flow Capacity
Published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2024
Using NH18 to define LWA flux exceedance events, this paper explores predictors of blocking onset in the traffic jam theory. A downstream reduction in flow capacity is common for both exceedance and blocking events, similar to how lane closures favor traffic jams. Blocks are co-located with exceedance events in space but not in time, limiting the predictive utility of the traffic jam theory.
Recommended citation: Yan, X., Wang, L., Gerber, E. P., Castañeda, V., & Ho, K. Y. (2024). Traffic bottlenecks: Predicting atmospheric blocking with a diminishing flow capacity. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111035. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111035
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